[SMM Analysis] A Review of This Week's Scrap Spot Price Trends (April 28-30, 2025)

Published: Apr 30, 2025 19:42
[SMM Analysis] A Review of This Week's Price Trends for Scrap Spot Cargo (April 28-30, 2025) Lithium Chemicals Side: This week, the prices of lithium chemicals mainly declined slightly, while the prices of salt products such as nickel salt and cobalt salt remained basically stable. This week, the coefficients for ternary and LCO black mass began to drop slightly. Taking ternary black mass as an example: Currently, the coefficient for ternary pole piece black mass is 75-77%, and for ternary battery black mass, it is 72-74%. On the supply side, the psychological selling prices of grinding mills and traders decreased with the decline in salt prices. However, some grinding mills still chose to hold back from selling due to their current profits being below the surplus line, opting to wait for market conditions to improve. Overall, market transactions in April were sluggish compared to March. On the demand side, most hydrometallurgy plants only made just-in-time procurement of black mass amid the continuous decline in nickel, cobalt, and lithium salt prices. Additionally, due to the market's pessimistic outlook on subsequent lithium salt prices, they only maintained a safety stock of raw materials for about one month. Cost side, currently, except for leading integrated hydrometallurgy plants, the profits of most hydrometallurgy plants remain below the surplus line. While the profits of grinding mills are slightly better than those of hydrometallurgy plants, the recent decline in copper cathode prices has led to a continuous inversion in grinding mill profits.

SMM, April 30:

Current situation of hydrometallurgy recycling this week:

Salt side: This week, lithium chemical prices have generally declined slightly, while prices of salt products such as nickel salt and cobalt salt have remained basically stable. This week, the coefficients for ternary and LCO black mass began to drop slightly. Taking ternary black mass as an example: Currently, the coefficient for ternary pole piece black mass is 75-77%, and for ternary battery black mass, it is 72-74%. On the supply side, the psychological selling prices of grinding mills and traders have decreased along with the drop in salt prices. However, some grinding mills still choose to hold back from selling due to their current profits being below the surplus line, opting to wait for market conditions to improve. Overall market transactions in April were sluggish compared to March on a MoM basis. On the demand side, most hydrometallurgy plants have only made just-in-time procurement of black mass amid the continuous decline in nickel, cobalt, and lithium salt prices. Additionally, due to the market's pessimistic outlook on subsequent lithium chemical prices, they have only maintained a safety stock of raw materials for about one month. Cost side, currently, except for leading integrated hydrometallurgy plants, the profits of most hydrometallurgy plants remain below the surplus line. The profits of grinding mills are slightly better than those of hydrometallurgy plants. However, due to the previous drop in copper cathode prices, the profits of grinding mills have also continued to be inverted.

 

SMM New Energy Research Team

Wang Cong 021-51666838

Ma Rui 021-51595780

Feng Disheng 021-51666714

Xu Ying 021-51666707

Lv Yanlin 021-20707875

Liu Yujun 021-20707895

Yu Xiaodan 021-20707870

Zhou Zhicheng 021-51666711

Zhang He 021-20707850

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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